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What Will Happen In Russia As Putinism Falters?

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robtcohen@msn.com - 15 Jan 2005 17:25 GMT
Well, "history" is always in the making, and though this note of fear
of the future isn't considered "history," I'm hereaby bringing-it-up,
as there probably are historical precedents

A fairly easy prediction for the future: Some kind of "counter-counter
revolution."

Meaning, the Bolsheviks' infamous  revolution circa 1917, the amazing
1990s Gorbachev changes ("counter-revolution"), and now widespread
dissatisfaction resulting-in ...what? Counter-counter revolution(?)

Meanwhile, there are beaucoup ideas/stories about Russia, which is
vast, and there is the MOSCOW NEWS (in English) and PRAVDA (in English)
on the internet

Here's one I saw in the LA TIMES that motivates me to post this
alarmist-pessimistic note

www.latimes.com

or

http://groups-beta.google.com/group/alt.history/post?_done=%2Fgroup%2Falt.histor
y%3F&_doneTitle=Back+to+topics
&

copyrighted by the los angeles times 2005

January 15, 2005  E-mail story    Print

THE WORLD
Reforms in Russia Spark Public Outcry
Nationwide protests by retirees decrying cuts to social subsidies
apparently take the government by surprise.
By Kim Murphy, Times Staff Writer

PODOLSK, Russia - Pensioners and war veterans facing major cuts in
their Soviet-era social benefits have launched demonstrations across
Russia, the most sweeping protests in years and the first significant
sign of public discontent with the government of President Vladimir V.
Putin.

>From rural Siberia to the teeming suburbs of Moscow, aging protesters
have blocked highways, marched on street corners and blockaded public
buildings in an attempt to thwart welfare reforms that would replace
transit, housing, telephone and medicine subsidies with monthly cash
payments ranging from $7 to $100.
Russia has about 30 million retirees, about half of whom qualified in
the past for free bus travel or subsidized prescriptions. Many faced a
sudden cutoff when a new law slashing their benefits took effect Jan.
1.

Aging war veterans have since been ordered off buses, and retirees have
bristled at the prospect of paying for services on pensions of less
than $75 a month. Their protests appeared to have surprised the
government. Federal officials in Moscow blamed cash-strapped regional
governments for failing to manage the transition to cash-based benefits
for their poorest citizens.

The new law attempts to end a Soviet legacy of in-kind benefits costing
billions of dollars that were created ostensibly to benefit the poor.
Because the system was underfunded, retirees often couldn't get the
medicines they were entitled to, and public transit networks swamped
with millions of nonpaying customers had no money to open new routes or
maintain and upgrade equipment, authorities say.

The protests raise doubts about Putin's ability to carry out other
major changes - in the banking, energy and administrative sectors -
that were to be the hallmarks of his second term.

The highly popular president suddenly faces substantial public
skepticism. A poll by the Public Opinion Foundation showed that for the
first time since Putin's election in 2000, the number of Russians who
said they were dissatisfied with the situation in the country surpassed
those who said they were satisfied. And 49% said they thought the
country was headed "down a blind alley."

"I think it's headed very steadily and surely toward the...

(the entire article is at the LA TIMES cookied registration website)
Robert Cohen - 19 Jan 2005 17:35 GMT
very pessimistic predictions:

as the world turns, it's resolution of cognitive dissonance time:

mao revived (honored)  in china
hitler revived (honored) in germany

copyrighted by yahoo 2005

 News Home - Help  

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Moscow Plans First Stalin Monument Since 1960s

35 minutes ago

MOSCOW (Reuters) - Moscow plans to erect a new statue of Soviet dictator Josef
Stalin, returning his once-ubiquitous image to its streets after an absence of
four decades, a top city official said Wednesday.

 

Since President Vladimir Putin (news - web sites) was elected in 2000, a number
of Soviet symbols -- including the national anthem and an army flag -- have
been restored to use, reflecting widespread nostalgia for Russia's communist
years.

But rehabilitation of Stalin, who was denounced after his death in 1953 by the
Soviet leadership for encouraging a cult of personality and killing millions of
real and imagined opponents, has previously been out of bounds. Statues of
Stalin were removed from Moscow's public spaces in the 1960s.

"A monument will be erected to those who took part in (leading the war against
Adolf Hitler), including Stalin," Oleg Tolkachev, Moscow's senator in the upper
house of parliament, told Ekho Moskvy radio.

Interfax news agency reported earlier that a Stalin monument would also be
built in the Belgorod region near the Ukrainian border to mark the Soviet
victory against Nazi Germany 60 years ago -- seen as the country's greatest
military triumph.

In another sign of Stalin's growing appeal, state television channels have
shown a number of prime-time television shows in recent months depicting him in
a positive light.

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Ed Earl Ross - 19 Jan 2005 20:49 GMT
> very pessimistic predictions:
>
[quoted text clipped - 43 lines]
> shown a number of prime-time television shows in recent months depicting him in
> a positive light.

Well, no one is all bad, and people tend to forget bad the things
that happen.

Hopefully, Russia is just swinging to and fro politically, like a
pendulum, trying to find their center. Though, the things you
mention do sound ominous.

> Story Tools
>   Email Story  
[quoted text clipped - 23 lines]
>
>  
Robert Cohen - 12 Feb 2005 15:43 GMT
www.nytimes.com

copyrighted by the new york times 2005

Mounting Discontent in Russia Spills Into Streets
By STEVEN LEE MYERS

Published: February 12, 2005

MOSCOW, Feb. 11 - A month ago a small crowd of elderly men and women
briefly blocked the highway to Moscow's main international airport to
protest changes in pension benefits. It seemed insignificant then, but
in retrospect it seems to have been the first stirrings of something
long considered dead, or at least dormant, in Russia: the public
protest.

Advertisement

In Beslan, relatives of those killed in the siege of Middle School No.
1 last September blocked the main highway across the North Caucasus for
three days in late January to protest the pace of the government's
official investigation into the terrorist attack. On the island of
Sakhalin in the Far East, ecologists joined local villagers in blocking
roads leading to new oil and gas projects to protest their effect on
the environment and local tribal cultures.

In the last week alone, people representing liberal parties assembled
near the Kremlin in Moscow to denounce the end of direct elections for
governor and in St. Petersburg to protest the exclusion of political
opponents from the city's official television station. On Thursday,
transportation workers took to the streets in those cities, and a dozen
others, to rail against the rising cost of gasoline, among other
issues.

"There is calm before the storm, and it is the beginning of the storm,"
said Anatoly Zykov, 55, a bus driver from the Moscow region who joined
some 200 others outside the government headquarters known as the White
House. "God forbid there should be bloodshed, but everyone is sick and
tired."

An axiom here holds that Russians are politically passive, but the
protests unfolding in cities across 11 time zones is challenging that,
while raising questions about public support for the country's course
under President Vladimir V. Putin.

The largest of the demonstrations have included no more than a few
thousand protesters. But taken together, they are the largest by far of
Mr. Putin's presidency and appear to signal a broadly felt, if
ill-defined, discontent.

The public anger has dented Mr. Putin's ratings and rattled his
government ministers, who responded slowly and confusedly to the first
wave of protests over pensions before retreating in part on changes
that the Kremlin had pushed through a pliant Parliament last summer.

Mr. Putin's appointees have attributed the demonstrations to a
disgruntled few, incited by agitators, but the protests show little
sign of dissipating. A coalition of political, social, environmental
and labor organizations has called new rallies across the country for
Saturday, including two in Moscow.

"In the first four years of Putin's regime... (see website for further
ominous details)
Robert Cohen - 28 Feb 2005 13:41 GMT
let's applaud/give-it-up for:

mutual understanding/empathy of our cultural nuances

http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1032354,00.html

and if Vladamir is really this dumb, then the summit oughta be
entitled: with apology to Jim Carrey:

DUMMY & DUMMY
Ed Earl Ross - 28 Feb 2005 16:17 GMT
>let's applaud/give-it-up for:
>
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
>
>DUMMY & DUMMY

The misunderstanding that the Russian government has about the CBS
firings being encouraged by Bush is not an indictment of Vladamir, but
may be indictment of US media, and perhaps Hollywood. Moreover, it may
be an example of how the world misunderstands the US and democracy.

On the other hand, Vladamir may not actually believe Bush fired people
at CBS, but made it up, when Bush pushed him about a free media. It may
be a smokescreen, á la the best defense is a good offense. Leaders of
nations are not dumb, they tend to be smart, subtle, and sly.

Signature

Humbly--Ed

Woodrow Wilson
"I would rather fail in a cause that will ultimately triumph
than to triumph in a cause that will ultimately fail."

 
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