What Will Happen In Russia As Putinism Falters?
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robtcohen@msn.com - 15 Jan 2005 17:25 GMT Well, "history" is always in the making, and though this note of fear of the future isn't considered "history," I'm hereaby bringing-it-up, as there probably are historical precedents
A fairly easy prediction for the future: Some kind of "counter-counter revolution."
Meaning, the Bolsheviks' infamous revolution circa 1917, the amazing 1990s Gorbachev changes ("counter-revolution"), and now widespread dissatisfaction resulting-in ...what? Counter-counter revolution(?)
Meanwhile, there are beaucoup ideas/stories about Russia, which is vast, and there is the MOSCOW NEWS (in English) and PRAVDA (in English) on the internet
Here's one I saw in the LA TIMES that motivates me to post this alarmist-pessimistic note
www.latimes.com
or
http://groups-beta.google.com/group/alt.history/post?_done=%2Fgroup%2Falt.histor y%3F&_doneTitle=Back+to+topics&
copyrighted by the los angeles times 2005
January 15, 2005 E-mail story Print
THE WORLD Reforms in Russia Spark Public Outcry Nationwide protests by retirees decrying cuts to social subsidies apparently take the government by surprise. By Kim Murphy, Times Staff Writer
PODOLSK, Russia - Pensioners and war veterans facing major cuts in their Soviet-era social benefits have launched demonstrations across Russia, the most sweeping protests in years and the first significant sign of public discontent with the government of President Vladimir V. Putin.
>From rural Siberia to the teeming suburbs of Moscow, aging protesters have blocked highways, marched on street corners and blockaded public buildings in an attempt to thwart welfare reforms that would replace transit, housing, telephone and medicine subsidies with monthly cash payments ranging from $7 to $100. Russia has about 30 million retirees, about half of whom qualified in the past for free bus travel or subsidized prescriptions. Many faced a sudden cutoff when a new law slashing their benefits took effect Jan. 1.
Aging war veterans have since been ordered off buses, and retirees have bristled at the prospect of paying for services on pensions of less than $75 a month. Their protests appeared to have surprised the government. Federal officials in Moscow blamed cash-strapped regional governments for failing to manage the transition to cash-based benefits for their poorest citizens.
The new law attempts to end a Soviet legacy of in-kind benefits costing billions of dollars that were created ostensibly to benefit the poor. Because the system was underfunded, retirees often couldn't get the medicines they were entitled to, and public transit networks swamped with millions of nonpaying customers had no money to open new routes or maintain and upgrade equipment, authorities say.
The protests raise doubts about Putin's ability to carry out other major changes - in the banking, energy and administrative sectors - that were to be the hallmarks of his second term.
The highly popular president suddenly faces substantial public skepticism. A poll by the Public Opinion Foundation showed that for the first time since Putin's election in 2000, the number of Russians who said they were dissatisfied with the situation in the country surpassed those who said they were satisfied. And 49% said they thought the country was headed "down a blind alley."
"I think it's headed very steadily and surely toward the...
(the entire article is at the LA TIMES cookied registration website)
Robert Cohen - 19 Jan 2005 17:35 GMT very pessimistic predictions:
as the world turns, it's resolution of cognitive dissonance time:
mao revived (honored) in china hitler revived (honored) in germany
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-------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------ Moscow Plans First Stalin Monument Since 1960s
35 minutes ago
MOSCOW (Reuters) - Moscow plans to erect a new statue of Soviet dictator Josef Stalin, returning his once-ubiquitous image to its streets after an absence of four decades, a top city official said Wednesday.
Since President Vladimir Putin (news - web sites) was elected in 2000, a number of Soviet symbols -- including the national anthem and an army flag -- have been restored to use, reflecting widespread nostalgia for Russia's communist years.
But rehabilitation of Stalin, who was denounced after his death in 1953 by the Soviet leadership for encouraging a cult of personality and killing millions of real and imagined opponents, has previously been out of bounds. Statues of Stalin were removed from Moscow's public spaces in the 1960s.
"A monument will be erected to those who took part in (leading the war against Adolf Hitler), including Stalin," Oleg Tolkachev, Moscow's senator in the upper house of parliament, told Ekho Moskvy radio.
Interfax news agency reported earlier that a Stalin monument would also be built in the Belgorod region near the Ukrainian border to mark the Soviet victory against Nazi Germany 60 years ago -- seen as the country's greatest military triumph.
In another sign of Stalin's growing appeal, state television channels have shown a number of prime-time television shows in recent months depicting him in a positive light.
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Ed Earl Ross - 19 Jan 2005 20:49 GMT > very pessimistic predictions: > [quoted text clipped - 43 lines] > shown a number of prime-time television shows in recent months depicting him in > a positive light. Well, no one is all bad, and people tend to forget bad the things that happen.
Hopefully, Russia is just swinging to and fro politically, like a pendulum, trying to find their center. Though, the things you mention do sound ominous.
> Story Tools > Email Story [quoted text clipped - 23 lines] > > Robert Cohen - 12 Feb 2005 15:43 GMT www.nytimes.com
copyrighted by the new york times 2005
Mounting Discontent in Russia Spills Into Streets By STEVEN LEE MYERS
Published: February 12, 2005
MOSCOW, Feb. 11 - A month ago a small crowd of elderly men and women briefly blocked the highway to Moscow's main international airport to protest changes in pension benefits. It seemed insignificant then, but in retrospect it seems to have been the first stirrings of something long considered dead, or at least dormant, in Russia: the public protest.
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In Beslan, relatives of those killed in the siege of Middle School No. 1 last September blocked the main highway across the North Caucasus for three days in late January to protest the pace of the government's official investigation into the terrorist attack. On the island of Sakhalin in the Far East, ecologists joined local villagers in blocking roads leading to new oil and gas projects to protest their effect on the environment and local tribal cultures.
In the last week alone, people representing liberal parties assembled near the Kremlin in Moscow to denounce the end of direct elections for governor and in St. Petersburg to protest the exclusion of political opponents from the city's official television station. On Thursday, transportation workers took to the streets in those cities, and a dozen others, to rail against the rising cost of gasoline, among other issues.
"There is calm before the storm, and it is the beginning of the storm," said Anatoly Zykov, 55, a bus driver from the Moscow region who joined some 200 others outside the government headquarters known as the White House. "God forbid there should be bloodshed, but everyone is sick and tired."
An axiom here holds that Russians are politically passive, but the protests unfolding in cities across 11 time zones is challenging that, while raising questions about public support for the country's course under President Vladimir V. Putin.
The largest of the demonstrations have included no more than a few thousand protesters. But taken together, they are the largest by far of Mr. Putin's presidency and appear to signal a broadly felt, if ill-defined, discontent.
The public anger has dented Mr. Putin's ratings and rattled his government ministers, who responded slowly and confusedly to the first wave of protests over pensions before retreating in part on changes that the Kremlin had pushed through a pliant Parliament last summer.
Mr. Putin's appointees have attributed the demonstrations to a disgruntled few, incited by agitators, but the protests show little sign of dissipating. A coalition of political, social, environmental and labor organizations has called new rallies across the country for Saturday, including two in Moscow.
"In the first four years of Putin's regime... (see website for further ominous details)
Robert Cohen - 28 Feb 2005 13:41 GMT let's applaud/give-it-up for:
mutual understanding/empathy of our cultural nuances
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1032354,00.html
and if Vladamir is really this dumb, then the summit oughta be entitled: with apology to Jim Carrey:
DUMMY & DUMMY
Ed Earl Ross - 28 Feb 2005 16:17 GMT >let's applaud/give-it-up for: > [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] > >DUMMY & DUMMY The misunderstanding that the Russian government has about the CBS firings being encouraged by Bush is not an indictment of Vladamir, but may be indictment of US media, and perhaps Hollywood. Moreover, it may be an example of how the world misunderstands the US and democracy.
On the other hand, Vladamir may not actually believe Bush fired people at CBS, but made it up, when Bush pushed him about a free media. It may be a smokescreen, á la the best defense is a good offense. Leaders of nations are not dumb, they tend to be smart, subtle, and sly.
 Signature Humbly--Ed
Woodrow Wilson "I would rather fail in a cause that will ultimately triumph than to triumph in a cause that will ultimately fail."
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