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Mohamed ElBaradei: 'Ball Of Fire' If Iran Attacked

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D. Spencer Hines - 21 Jun 2008 19:34 GMT
"Glorious Spartan 08", Aye.

Return with your shields or upon them...

DSH

Lux et Veritas et Libertas

Vires et Honor
------------------------------------------

'Ball of fire' if Iran attacked: IAEA chief

Jun 21, 2008
AFP

           The UN atomic watchdog chief warned on Saturday that an attack
on Iran over its controversial nuclear programme would turn the region into
a fireball, as Tehran rejected an Israeli strike as "impossible."

           Mohamed ElBaradei also warned that he would not be able to
continue in his role as International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) director
general should the Islamic republic be attacked.

If we could only get rid of him now. -- DSH

           His stark comments came as Iran stressed yet again that it will
not negotiate with world powers over its nuclear programme if it is required
to suspend its controversial uranium enrichment.

           "A military strike (against Iran) would in my opinion be worse
than anything else ... It would transform the Middle East region into a ball
of fire," ElBaradei said in an interview with Al-Arabiya television.

           A report by the New York Times on Friday cited US officials as
saying a major Israeli military exercise earlier this month seemed to be a
practice for any potential strike against Iran's nuclear facilities.

           In Athens, an official with the Greek air force's central
command confirmed the substance of the US media report, stating that it had
taken part in "joint training exercises" with Israel off the Mediterranean
island of Crete.

           The manoeuvres, code-named "Glorious Spartan 08," took place on
May 28 and June 12, and consisted of aerial exercises and knowledge
exchange, said the Greek source, who requested anonymity.

           The goal was for more than 100 Israeli F-16 and F-15 fighter
jets to prepare for long-range strikes and demonstrate Israel's serious
concern over Iran's nuclear ambitions, the Times reported.

           But ElBaradei said any attack would simply harden Iran's
position in its row with the West over its nuclear programme.

           "A military strike would spark the launch of an emergency
programme to make atomic weapons, with the support of all Iranians,
including those living abroad," he said.

           He did not believe that there was an "imminent risk" of
proliferation given the current status of Iran's nuclear programme and made
it clear he would "not have a place" as IAEA head in the event of a military
strike.

           The West fears that Tehran could use uranium enrichment to make
an atomic bomb although Tehran insists it only wants nuclear technology for
peaceful energy purposes.

           ElBaradei's comments come as Iran stressed on Saturday it will
not negotiate with world powers over its nuclear programme if it is required
to suspend its enrichment activities.

           "Suspending uranium enrichment has no logic behind it and it is
not acceptable and the continuation of negotiation will not be based on
suspension," Iranian government spokesman Gholam Hossein Elham told
reporters.

           He responded to talk of a military strike by saying "such
impudence and audacity to have an aggression against our national interest
and integrity is an impossible action."

           For his part, Iran's ambassador to the IAEA, Ali Asghar
Soltanieh, said Tehran would "continue uranium enrichment non-stop since
this activity is under the 24 hour surveillance (of IAEA cameras).

           "The request to stop uranium enrichment is an old issue and does
not have any legal or technical foundation," he added.

           In Jerusalem, the Israeli parliament foreign affairs and defence
commission chairman Tsahi Hanegbi said Saturday that Western diplomatic
efforts to halt Iran's nuclear programme had failed.

           "Next year and the year after that will be crucial. The world
must decide if it gives more time to diplomatic efforts, which currently do
not seem very promising," he told Israeli public radio.

           "Western measures against Iran's nuclear programme have failed."

           On June 6 an Israeli Deputy Prime Minister, Shaul Mofaz, warned
that Iran would face attack if it pursues what he said was its nuclear
weapons programme.

           A week ago, European Union foreign policy chief Javier Solana
presented a new offer to Mottaki on ending the six-year standoff over Iran's
nuclear drive, offering economic and trade incentives. Iran is still
considering the plan.

           It was made on behalf of Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia
and the United States.
Tiglath - 21 Jun 2008 20:57 GMT
> "Glorious Spartan 08", Aye.
>
> Return with your shields or upon them...

What if the shield breaks or gets lost or stolen?

Wander abroad forever?

Warriors are notorious for compelling but lame slogans.  "Who dares
wins."   Well, many dared and didn''t win.  They ended up drowning,
dashed at the bottom of a precipice, shot dead defending their wallet,
hang-gliding into the side of a mountain, hurtling down a raging river
tied to a snapped bungee cord, T-boning an SUV at 144 mph, so on and
so forth.

"Semper fidelis," that's another one.   Fidelity should be earned, not
granted unconditionally for life.  What if the state screws you with
an unnecessary war?  How many lost their sight, limbs, half a brain,
or worse to fight Saddam Hussein's imminent threat?   It's enough for
the other marines to walk out once the deception is out.  But not,
they continue to risk their lives for the dubious benefit of staying
the wrong course.   Bad fish.   Give your life for a high cause, by
all means, but not for the low cause of low-life politicians.  Don't
die for nothing.   It's part of what people mean when they say, "look
after yourself."

"Live free or die."   Hmmmm.   Billions of Chinese should be dying
since certainly they can't live free, if living free is living in a
democracy.

All that's stuff is fine for Hannibal to pep up the mercenaries at the
foothill of the Alps after a dreadful passage, so that they can go on
to conquer Italy, or a similar context, but otherwise, it is REALLY
silly.  Civilians need no harangue, they usually can afford to think
about issues and decide carefully.  There is no phrase that will make
them spur into a charge, as we well can see.  The President and Vice-
president bugger them repeatedly and still give the thumbs-up.

> DSH
>
[quoted text clipped - 100 lines]
>             It was made on behalf of Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia
> and the United States.
J A - 21 Jun 2008 21:30 GMT
If the Jews think that Iran is a genuine threat to Israel, then it's
appropriate that the Israelis attack them.

However, they shouldn't be trying to manipulate the dumber elements in the
US into doing it for them.

> "Glorious Spartan 08", Aye.
>
[quoted text clipped - 118 lines]
> Russia
> and the United States.
Tiglath - 21 Jun 2008 22:54 GMT
> If the Jews think that Iran is a genuine threat to Israel, then it's
> appropriate that the Israelis attack them.
>
> However, they shouldn't be trying to manipulate the dumber elements in the
> US into doing it for them.

Old habits die hard.
Singanas@Texasgulfcoast - 23 Jun 2008 09:19 GMT
> > If the Jews think that Iran is a genuine threat to Israel, then it's
> > appropriate that the Israelis attack them.
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>
> Old habits die hard.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Okay , let's predict what is really going to happen to Iran.

(1) The Neocons will turn out to NOT be dumb enough to
     attack Iran before the Inauguration.

(2) France will make the world's first pre-emptive strike against
    a nuclear power.  Russia and China will look the other way
    but will speed disaster relief and assistance to the fallout
    victims.  Then France will submit to NATO.

(3) Israeli intelligence will immediately assess the French strike
    results.  If the Jews determine that the French made errors
    or mis-targeted, Israel will strike within hours  the
installations
    left intact according to Mossad intel data.

(4) Officially, Al Qaeda International will be outraged.
     Privately, the Sunniya radicals will gloat over the deaths of
     of so many Persian "heretics."

This is going to happen because of geography.  Iran
is not  a hermit  kingdom  in a forgotten corner of the globe.
Iran is not  North Korea.

Cheers, David H
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
William Black - 23 Jun 2008 11:13 GMT
> (2) France will make the world's first pre-emptive strike against
>     a nuclear power.  Russia and China will look the other way
>     but will speed disaster relief and assistance to the fallout
>     victims.  Then France will submit to NATO.

How exactly does France 'Submit to NATO'?

France is a full member of NATO with a seat on the council.

Signature

William Black

I've seen things you people wouldn't believe.
Barbeques on fire by the chalets past the castle headland
I watched the gift shops glitter in the darkness off the Newborough gate
All these moments will be lost in time,  like icecream on the beach
Time for tea.

Zombywoof - 23 Jun 2008 14:18 GMT
>> (2) France will make the world's first pre-emptive strike against
>>     a nuclear power.  Russia and China will look the other way
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>
>France is a full member of NATO with a seat on the council.

Huh?  You really do not know an awful lot about what you post do you?

While France has been a member of the Atlantic Alliance since it was
founded in 1949, in 1966, all French armed forces were removed from
NATO's integrated military command, and all non-French NATO troops
were asked to leave France.  This was basically over Charles de
Gaulle's pssing contest with the US & Great Britain and his desire to
be on equal footing with the US & Great Britain who see going to War
with the French as allies like taking a bagpiper Deer Hunting.

Charles de Gaulle's actions led to the withdrawal of all NATO forces
in France, the returning of all bases in France, and forced the
relocation of the Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE)
from Paris to Casteau, north of Mons, Belgium.

Since that time France has no longer been part of NATO’s integrated
military structure (no Allied headquarters on French territory, no
French forces under permanent Allied command, no participation in the
defense planning process, independent nuclear deterrence). However,
this decision did not prevent the development of military cooperation
between France and the integrated structure during the Cold War.

France rejoined NATO's Military Committee in 1995, and since that time
has intensified working relations with the military structure.
However, France did not rejoin the integrated military command and no
non-French NATO troops are allowed to be based on its soil. The
policies of current French President Nicolas Sarkozy have resulted in
a major reform of France's military position, culminating in a pledge
in June 2008 to rejoin the military command of NATO while maintaining
an independent nuclear deterrent, but that ain't happened yet.
Signature

"Everything in excess! To enjoy the flavor of life, take big bites.
Moderation is for monks."

William Black - 23 Jun 2008 14:28 GMT
>>> (2) France will make the world's first pre-emptive strike against
>>>     a nuclear power.  Russia and China will look the other way
[quoted text clipped - 35 lines]
> in June 2008 to rejoin the military command of NATO while maintaining
> an independent nuclear deterrent, but that ain't happened yet.

All very true.

How does this make France any less a full member of NATO with a seat on the
Council?

Signature

William Black

I've seen things you people wouldn't believe.
Barbeques on fire by the chalets past the castle headland
I watched the gift shops glitter in the darkness off the Newborough gate
All these moments will be lost in time,  like icecream on the beach
Time for tea.

John Briggs - 23 Jun 2008 14:34 GMT
>>>> (2) France will make the world's first pre-emptive strike against
>>>>     a nuclear power.  Russia and China will look the other way
[quoted text clipped - 40 lines]
> How does this make France any less a full member of NATO with a seat
> on the Council?

And on the Military Committee.
Signature

John Briggs

William Black - 23 Jun 2008 14:52 GMT
>>>>> (2) France will make the world's first pre-emptive strike against
>>>>>     a nuclear power.  Russia and China will look the other way
[quoted text clipped - 42 lines]
>
> And on the Military Committee.

And Iceland doesn't have an army,  but they're a full member as well...

Nobody cares,  they don't make any major decisions.

France has the best of both worlds.

They only get to play when they feel like it.

I believe there are about 1500 French soldiers and a squadron of aircraft
committed to Afghanistan.

I didn't hear anyone saying 'You can't play,  you don't have a seat on the
right committee'.

Signature

William Black

I've seen things you people wouldn't believe.
Barbeques on fire by the chalets past the castle headland
I watched the gift shops glitter in the darkness off the Newborough gate
All these moments will be lost in time,  like icecream on the beach
Time for tea.

BL5511 - 23 Jun 2008 15:35 GMT
In 1938, Germany annexed Austria and invaded Czekchoslovakia and the
world was silent. Japan then invaded China, Vietnam, Singapore, Burma
and the world was silent. But then the world then said enough and
destroyed Germany and Japan into rubbles.
In 1967, Israel attacked USS liberty and the U.S. was silent.
In 2003, the U.S. invaded and occupies Iraq and the world was silent.
In 2007, Israel invaded Lebanon and the world was silent. In 2008,
Israel bombed Syria and the world was silent. Now Israel and the U.S.
is planning to bomb Iran and expect the world to remain silent. Anyway
it will be interesting to watch the war expanded and escalated, and
its impacts on costs of living.
After the cold war was over today U.S. and Israel can attack many non-
alliance nations at their own will. The U.S. once said to UN that the
U.S. would go to war alone.

On Jun 23, 8:52 am, "William Black" <william.bl...@hotmail.co.uk>
wrote:

> >>>>> (2) France will make the world's first pre-emptive strike against
> >>>>>     a nuclear power.  Russia and China will look the other way
[quoted text clipped - 65 lines]
> All these moments will be lost in time,  like icecream on the beach
> Time for tea.
William Black - 23 Jun 2008 16:07 GMT
> In 1938, Germany annexed Austria and invaded Czekchoslovakia and the
> world was silent. Japan then invaded China, Vietnam, Singapore, Burma
> and the world was silent. But then the world then said enough and
> destroyed Germany and Japan into rubbles.

Well no.

Only the US said nothing.

Everyone else who was a major power was fighting by then.

Signature

William Black

I've seen things you people wouldn't believe.
Barbeques on fire by the chalets past the castle headland
I watched the gift shops glitter in the darkness off the Newborough gate
All these moments will be lost in time,  like icecream on the beach
Time for tea.

Fred J. McCall - 23 Jun 2008 16:19 GMT
:> In 1938, Germany annexed Austria and invaded Czekchoslovakia and the
:> world was silent. Japan then invaded China, Vietnam, Singapore, Burma
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
:
:Everyone else who was a major power was fighting by then.

Well, no.  The UK (among others) meekly handed over Austria and
Czechoslovakia.  When you encourage someone like Hitler, why should
they stop?  Then you complain that we didn't leap in to help you clean
up yet another European mess.

As for the Pacific, you lot didn't get into it until we did.

Usual Wee Willie w.nking...

Signature

"False words are not only evil in themselves, but they infect the
soul with evil."
                                     -- Socrates

BL5511 - 23 Jun 2008 15:16 GMT
You are correct about the history of France's involvement with NATO.

> On Mon, 23 Jun 2008 11:13:46 +0100, "William Black"
>
[quoted text clipped - 42 lines]
> "Everything in excess! To enjoy the flavor of life, take big bites.
> Moderation is for monks."
NOMOREWARFORISRAEL - 23 Jun 2008 11:55 GMT
Warmongering '60 Minutes' Mike Wallace interview

Apologize to the World Mr. Wallace and Return that Emmy

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=onNzrNEFs1E&feature=PlayList&p=181923B27C885CDF&i
ndex=0&playnext=1


Here is the tiny URL for the above one:

http://tinyurl.com/4kgcf9

---------------------------------------------------------------------

http://NOMOREWARFORISRAEL.BLOGSPOT.COM

http://NEOCONZIONISTTHREAT.BLOGSPOT.COM

> "Glorious Spartan 08", Aye.
>
[quoted text clipped - 104 lines]
>             It was made on behalf of Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia
> and the United States.
!Jones - 24 Jun 2008 04:11 GMT
>            His stark comments came as Iran stressed yet again that it will
>not negotiate with world powers over its nuclear programme if it is required
>to suspend its controversial uranium enrichment.

Well, whether or not it's reasonable, it's certainly consistent with
the way countries become nuclear powers.  Would the US have
"negotiated" with world powers in 1945?  Do you think we would today?

Half of the United States armed forces are poised on their doorstep.
Iran was one of the central pivots in the "Axis of Evil" speech.  One
of them (North Korea) developed nukes as quickly as they could and
said, "World powers be damned!"  The other (Iraq) negotiated and
complied... and their leaders subsequently danced on a rope.  Thus,
one might ask: If you were an Iranian leader, which way would you go
given recent history?

We simply can't attack them at the moment; we're barely holding what
we have.  Should we ever consolidate Iraq, though, you can bet Iran
will be the next target unless they develop nukes.  They don't need to
hit the US mainland... all they have to do is take out the Saudi oil
terminals and Tel Aviv; I assure you, the term "fireball" will be
accurate.

I don't suppose the option of minding our own business in our own
country is on the table?

Jones
La N - 24 Jun 2008 04:13 GMT
>  >
> I don't suppose the option of minding our own business in our own
> country is on the table?

Now, *that's* a novel concept. How to get the genie back into the bottle is
another matter ...

- nilita
William Black - 24 Jun 2008 11:03 GMT
>  One
> of them (North Korea) developed nukes as quickly as they could and
> said, "World powers be damned!"  The other (Iraq) negotiated and
> complied... and their leaders subsequently danced on a rope.

Now that's a statement that has hit the nail right on the head...

Signature

William Black

I've seen things you people wouldn't believe.
Barbeques on fire by the chalets past the castle headland
I watched the gift shops glitter in the darkness off the Newborough gate
All these moments will be lost in time,  like icecream on the beach
Time for tea.

John Briggs - 24 Jun 2008 13:25 GMT
>>            His stark comments came as Iran stressed yet again that
>> it will not negotiate with world powers over its nuclear programme
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> the way countries become nuclear powers.  Would the US have
> "negotiated" with world powers in 1945?  Do you think we would today?

The wartime development was actually a joint venture of three countries: the
USA (to where the British programme relocated to avoid German bombing),
Britain and Canada. After 1945, Canada (perhaps prudently, and despite being
a full partner) renounced nuclear weapons; and Britain was denied access to
all nuclear weapons technology - so it went ahead and developed its own
anyway.
Signature

John Briggs

!Jones - 25 Jun 2008 05:55 GMT
>The wartime development was actually a joint venture of three countries: the
>USA (to where the British programme relocated to avoid German bombing),
>Britain and Canada. After 1945, Canada (perhaps prudently, and despite being
>a full partner) renounced nuclear weapons; and Britain was denied access to
>all nuclear weapons technology - so it went ahead and developed its own
>anyway.

Actually, when you look at who the people really were, it was quite a
bit more than that.  If you named the 20-something lead scientific
minds, I think you find one US citizen, two Brits, and the rest
European, with German Jewish scientists and a couple of flaming queers
taking the lead.  Of course, their participation wasn't officially
sanctioned by their respective governments, mind you.

But that wasn't my point.  My point was: Would the US bow to
international pressure to give up its nuclear arsenal?  If not, then
why would the US expect any other country to do so?  Now, it makes
perfect sense to try; however, I do not find other countries to be
morally reprobate should they refuse.

Jones
John Doe - 06 Jul 2008 10:22 GMT
 
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