I would largely agree with that, with reservations. The T-34 started the reverse of the German Army, the German Army would have petered out anyway. I have been Googling this group, a book by Tooze causes great reactions. I read it and found it revealing indeed, especially on the German invasion of the USSR.
> Since today marked the 68th Anniversary of Nazi Germany's attack on > the then Soviet Union (SU) it might be interesting to review info re. > this huge surprise attack especially since it changed the nature of > WW2 and started the Eastern war where Germany committed 65% - 75% of > its armed forces. It commited 100%. There was no reserves. Tooze, Page 452: "the Germans had already conscripted virtually all their prime manpower. By contrast, the Red Army could call up millions of reservists."
> The attack was launched for ideological reasons - It was not. Tooze - Page 431: "the strongest arguments for rushing to conquer the Soviet Union in 1941 were precisely the growing shortage of grain and the need to knock Britain out of the war before it could pose a serious air threat."
"Meanwhile, the rest of the German military-industrialised complex began to gird itself for the aerial confrontation with Britain and America."
The US was to make 50,000 planes a year with UK production on top and much of these planes in the hands of the UK. Germany did not have a cat in hells chance of matching this level of production, with UK & US being new modern designs as well, against a now increasingly outdated Luftwaffe. They thought they could crush the USSR in months and turn to the UK before the planes came on line in mid 1942.
In June 1941, German industry was geared to producing more planes not land army equipment in preparation for the coming air war with the UK. They wound down army production.
Page 454: "The existing Russian rail infrastructure, even if it had been captured intact, was insufficient to support the German army. As a rule of thumb, the German logistical experts liked to assign at least one high capacity railway line to each army sized unit. But for the 10 armies that invaded the Soviet Union, the Wehrmacht was able to assign only three main railway lines, one for each army group."
Further up the page he writes: "the retreating Red Army became extremely proficient at evacuating rolling stock and sabotaging bridges, tracks and other railway installations."
This means the German Army was not going to be supplied properly even if the rail system was taken intact, and very poorly in real shooting war, to compound matters
On the same page: "Critical stores would be reserved above all for the main strike force of 33 tank and motorised infantry divisions. If the battle extended much beyond the first months of the attack, the fighting power of the rest of the German army would dwindle rapidly."
"Fundamentally the Wehrmacht was a "poor army". The fast striking motorised element of the Germans army in 1941 consisted of only 33 divisions of 130. Three-quarters of the German army continued to rely on more traditional means of traction: foot and horse. The German army in 1941 invaded the Soviet Union with somewhere between 600,000 and 740,000 horses. The horses were not for riding. They were for moving guns, ammunition and supplies."
"The vast majority of Germany's soldiers marched into Russia, as they had in France, on foot."
"But to imagine a fully motorised Wehrmacht, poised for an attack on the Soviet Union is a fantasy of the Cold War, not a realistic vision of the possibilities of 1941. To be more specific, it is an American fantasy. The Anglo-American invasion force of 1944 was the only military force in WW2 to fully conform to the modern model of a motorised army."
Page 455: "the chronic shortage of fuel and rubber"
"the fuel shortage of 1941 was so expected to be so severe that the Wehrmacht was seriously considering demotorisation as a way of reducing its dependency on scarce oil."
"Everything therefore depended on the assumption that the Red Army would crack under the impact of the first decisive blow."
Page 456: "a new Soviet industrial base to the east of the Urals, which had the capacity to sustain a population of at least 40 million people."
"Soviet industrial capacity was clearly very substantial."
"Franz Halder recorded Hitler's ruminations about the Soviets' immense stock of tanks and aircraft."
Reading further Tooze gives the misgivings of the German generals of the invasion. All were negative.
Page 457: "Halder noted in his diary: Barbarossa: purpose not clear, We do not hurt the English. Our economic base is not significantly improved."
At the top of page 459 Tooze emphasises that Hitler misinterpreted Backe's comments about the Ukraine grain. A region that had little surplus and had a substantial population increase from WW1.
Page 459: "On 22 January 1941 Thomas had informed his boss, Keitel, that he was planning to submit a report urging caution with regard to the military-economic benefits of the invasion. Now he reversed directions. As it became clear that Hitler was justifying Barbarossa first and foremost as a campaign of economic conquest, Thomas began systematically working towards the Fuehrer."
Thomas was head of the OKW economic planning staff. He modified his reports from negative to positive, presenting the Ukraine as an economic breadbasket. Thomas was an insider and it is assumed he had heard of the misinterpreted Backe's comments to Hitler.
Page 459: "The OKW now claimed that in the first thrust the Wehrmacht would be able to seize control of at least 70% of the Soviet Union's industrial potential."
Page 460: "As late as the Spring of 1941, the Foreign Ministry was still opposing the coming war, preferring to continue the alliance with the Soviet Union against the British Empire."
"If the shock of the initial assault does not destroy Stalin's regime, it was evident in February 1941 that the Third Reich would find itself facing a strategic disaster."
Page 452: "the Germans had already conscripted virtually all their prime manpower. By contrast, the Red Army could call up millions of reservists."
Why did Germany invade the USSR in a rushed ill-conceived plan? Madmen!
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